MA20 is the macro (100-day) trend anchor. MA8 is the micro (40-day) lens. The unified stage is always driven by MA8. MA20 is shown on the chart for context.
| MA8 ↓ / MA20 → | Stage 1 Basing |
Stage 2 Advancing |
Stage 3 Distribution |
Stage 4 Declining |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stage 1 |
Stage 1 Base
Early Breakout Candidate (Accumulation)
|
Early Dip
Superficial Pause / Base in Uptrend
|
Top Base
Flat Top Consolidation
|
Base Pre-2
Early Base Formation in Downtrend
|
| Stage 2 |
Early Stage 2
Early Breakout Candidate (Accumulation)
|
Strong Stage 2
Full Alignment (Strong Uptrend)
|
Exit Rally
Last Exit Rally (Distribution)
|
Dead Cat
Dead Cat Bounce (Suckers' Rally)
|
| Stage 3 |
Base Top
Choppy Range Bound
|
Early Top
Consolidation / Early Resistance
|
Stage 3
High Danger / Transitioning to Stage 4
|
Down Dip
Weak Pullback Continuation
|
| Stage 4 |
Base Breakdown
Failed Base / Threat of Breakdown
|
Healthy Dip
Pullback / Healthy Dip (Re-entry Watch)
|
Early Down
High Danger / Transitioning to Stage 4
|
Strong Stage 4
Full Alignment (Strong Downtrend)
|